IJEP 41(12): 1428-1438 : Vol. 41 Issue. 12 (December 2021)
1. GLA University, Mathura – 281 406, U.P., India
2. IILM CET AHL, Greater Noida – 201 306, U.P., India
Abstract
From ancient times, human’s basic needs were food and shelter. The development of various civilizations shows that humans were developing for food from hunting animals to farming crops. So many wars were fought to get food security. Even in developed civilizations, humans started to work hard to get sufficient food. Worldwide different types of crops were produced to feed humans. In India, the majority of the population is dependent on farming. Initially, Indian farmers produced crops with the help of natural fertilizers, which were homemade and eco-friendly. These fertilizers did not have any side effects on soil and human health. When the population started increasing rapidly and agricultural land was decreasing due to industrialization, farmers started to use industry-manufactured fertilizers. With the help of these fertilizers, farmers can increase crop yield. But we cannot neglect the side effects of these fertilizers on the environment and human health. These fertilizers damage soil quality and cause water and air pollution. In-country, like India, where a mass population is dependent on agriculture, the long-term use of these fertilizers will damage environmental balance and will be harmful to human health. In this work in place of biological analysis of fertilizers, a mathematical model is developed to forecast the use of fertilizers so that we can be aware of how fertilizer consumption is increasing in India.
Keywords
Fertilizers, Forecasting, Least square method, Trend equation
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